Wednesday, September 30, 2009
The Recession and the Military
Defense Spending
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
how the economic crisis affects global micro-finance.
Microfinance and the financial crisis
Editor's Note: Elizabeth Littlefield is Director and CEO of CGAP. From November 18-20, CGAP is running a virtual conference on microfinance and the financial crisis.
Throughout past financial crises—especially those of the 1990s (Mexico, Asia, Russia)—financial services for poor people have shown remarkable resilience to shock. In fact, the loan portfolios of microfinance institutions (MFIs) in Asia during the Asian crisis and in Latin America during various banking crises in that region barely blinked while corporate portfolios collapsed.
This is because these banking and currency crises had little relevance to subsistence-based economies in closed ecosystem markets. Our present financial crisis is like no other, and microfinance is far more connected now. Although microfinance still has deep shock-resistant roots, there will be impact—both on the institutions and the clients they serve. The medium and longer term effects of a global recession are likely to be punishing to poor people.
Low-income people in many places already have been suffering from high food and fuel prices. A recent CGAP survey of MFIs revealed that many clients were withdrawing savings, cutting back on nonfood expenses and in some cases struggling with repayment. While prices have come down in recent months, inflation is poised to surge. Making matters worse, remittances from the United States and Europe are down sharply. Mexican remittances from the United States are slowing significantly, and now the same is happening in Europe, Africa corridors, and elsewhere. So, in many places—though not everywhere—clients are feeling serious pressures.
MFIs will likely feel the first effects of the financial market turmoil in sharply curtailed funding. From domestic and international lenders, investors and depositors, money will become more scarce, more conservative, and more costly. Refinancing risk is a serious concern for some institutions.
Many MFIs depend on financing from local and international banks. They face more pressure today than MFIs that have built a deposit base. Some are already seeing their banks withdrawing loan offers, cutting credit lines, or raising rates. Some banks are even asking for loan prepayment and offering to waive prepayment fees. Steep rate increases are being announced—from 250 basis points in Eastern Europe, to 450 basis points for top-tier institutions in South Asia. While the immediate reactions have come from international banks, domestic ones may well pull back too.
A stronger U.S. dollar and steep local currency depreciation in developing countries means the cost of dollar financing for MFIs has increased dramatically. While the dollar may well soften, unhedged principal and interest payments in dollars will be difficult for MFIs to fund in the interim.
A few private equity transactions have closed even in the past few weeks, but these have been in the very deep and heated Indian market. For the most part, we are sensing that most private deals are slowed up and the few planned IPOs are on hold.
Financial pressures on families may lead to less savings and more withdrawals from deposit-taking MFIs. Also, some clients may understandably worry about the safety of their life savings and decide the mattress is safer. In previous banking crises depository MFIs fared well, but we worry that this one is different. Thus far, we have seen only a few isolated deposit runs, and these seem to have been triggered by a combination of factors beyond the crisis. But we worry about how rumors could shake confidence even amongst microfinance clients in today’s globally connected and wired world.
NOTES: this article is really interesting because it explains the damage being done to businesses which are trying to help and save people all over the world. This economic downfall is lowering MFI's income becuase banks and partners can no longer loan money that a micro finance firm would distribute to get poor people a chance at living; usually, third world countries.
The Recessions effect on Religion
Sunday, September 27, 2009
Impact on the Entertainment Buisness
Friday, September 25, 2009
Women in the Recession
This article is very interesting because it is saying that women are re-considering having children until later, or not at all. This could be the opposite of a baby boomer. I wonder what will happen.
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Banks too big?
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Unemployment Article
Homework 9/23 The Free Market (Con't)
You also need to decide on a particle aspect of the current financial recession that you would like to investigate further. This topic should be something that you are particularly interested in researching. You will become our "resident expert" on this topic and will use your research to keep the rest of the class aware of current events happening in your subject. Possible topics include:
the credit crunch
government financial institutions (e.g. the Treasury Dept, SEC, Federal Reserve System)
international financial institutions (the World Bank, IMF)
Wall Street practices
Wall Street firms
Banking Crisis
government response (TARP, bailouts)
impact on Main Street
Unemployment
impact on various professions (retail, housing/construction, sports/entertainment, advertising, etc.)
economic theory (free market, regulation, planned economies)
Remember that I will not be in class on Friday and we have a holiday on Monday. By Tuesday you need to have chosen a topic and begun your research. You are required to have at least one blog post on your topic by Thursday 10/1. Please email me as soon as you have your topic.
P.S. I'm sorry that this is so late in the evening. I'm afraid some of you may not see this before class Thursday. Please, as always, do what you can. And some of you have not yet posted articles and/or the required number of comment. Now would be a good time to do so. This is part of your grade.
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
British Parliament
My articles
Monday, September 21, 2009
This Made me Laugh SO Hard...
Videos Today
Homework 9/21 The Free Market
Jocelyn Cole HW
http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/u/united_states_economy/index.html
It is about the overall US economy. It gives a good understanding of the economy and what is happening and what happened.
Here is my second article:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-laracy/new-poll-shows-americans_b_291317.html
This article is more about what is happening to Americans and how they are being affected from the recession. It also talks about the governments involvement in the economy and what the people want and expect of the government.
Cholena Smith Recession Articles
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/16/business/economy/16bernanke.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=FEd%20Chief%20Says%20REcession%20Is%20%22Very%20likely%20Over%22&st=cse
website. http://www.nydailynews.com/money/investing/2009/09/15/2009-09-15_bam_speaks_street_shrugs.html
notes: This article is interesting because it shows wall streets lack of participation in trying to regulate health care prices. Also how people on Wall Street believe they can stop a consumer America but that’s because they want the support of banks. Wall street seems to only be looking at the money not the people.
U.S. to Hit Debt Ceiling- Again
Published 09/17/09 Dustin Ensinger - Print ArticleE-mail - editor@economyincisis.org
Sometime after the battle over health care reform is over, for the 90th time in the past 69 years lawmakers are set to engage in another contentious debate, this one with a foregone conclusion.
This fall, lawmakers will once again increase the national debt ceiling. The debate will be highly partisan, but the outcome will assuredly be that the U.S will raise its credit limit by about $1 trillion.
At $12.1 trillion, the national debt ceiling was just $349 billion away from being topped after unprecedented intervention into the financial markets that included $700 billion in bailouts and a $787 billion stimulus package.
On August 7, the U.S. Treasury Department sent a letter to lawmakers warning them that another vote to raise the national debt ceiling was imminent. Since that time, the economy has improved somewhat. Lawmakers are hoping that this will allow them to put the vote off until later in the year and provide them with some political cover.
"We're getting some signals that the economy is perking up a little bit so that we don't have to face (debt limit legislation) until maybe November," Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus(D-MT) said, according to the ,Associated Press.
Still, the vote is certain to be one fuel of political bomb-throwing. As is typically the case, the party out of power will almost uniformly oppose any debt increase, calling it an undue burden placed on future generations.
Even so, lawmakers have little choice but to go ahead with the debt increase. Without it, the U.S. Treasury Department would be unable to pay the holders of securities when they came due, meaning that the U.S. would essentially default on its debt obligations.
If that were to happen, it would send shockwaves through the world’s economies .
"Our credit as a nation would plummet immediately and throw the world economy into a depression," Charles Konigsberg, chief budget counsel for The Concord Coalition, a deficit watchdog group, toldCNNMoney.com.
The debate and ensuing vote could, however, have major implications for President Barack Obama’s domestic agenda that includes a nearly $1 trillion health care reform package, cap-and-trade legislation and other forms of expanded federal spending. In addition, the current White House budget projections estimate a budget deficit of $9 trillion over the next decade.
“Passing a trillion-dollar health-care bill on top of a trillion dollar deficit won’t convince Americans that Congress is serious about reining in spending, and it won’t put our fiscal house in order,” Senate Minority Whip John Kyl wrote in theNational Ledger.
notes: this is interesting because it talks about raising the national debt and how that would be the only way to help the market. and the health care base been reformed over 80 times in less than 70 years. and without this raise of national debt america would not be able to measure up to its "debt obligations".
Ryan Lewis recession articles
(stability of government jobs during the recession)
http://www.newsweek.com/id/161649
(opinions of other countries about how the US affected the financial recession)
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Emily Rhodes- HW
HW Articles- Hayden Aldredge
The second article I chose can be found here. It was written in the New york Times in July of this year. The article is about the struggles of family businesses during the recession. This particular family runs a flag installation company based in Miami.
Ashley Jung - HW
here is my first article:
http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1895832,00.html?iid=sphere-inline-bottom
this article tells that unlike Ben Bernanke's announced the financial crisis is not over yet. It says that even though the economic decline is slowing down it does not mean that the recovery is here.
my second article:
http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Money/Business/5460599-147/story.csp
this one also says the economy is not close to the recovery, but it gives you specific needs for the recovery of the economy. I found it easy to understand what should be done in the economy from reading this article.
Homework-Yariany Perez
Homework- Rose Kouzoujian
Loving Couple Divorces to Stay Afloat Financially; BBC Graphs Illustrate Downturn
Max Rowen's HW
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Homework - Dylan Stilin
Homework - Emily Watson
HW sept 19
This one is from nytimes, I was just on the website looking for articles. It is about women who are going back to work after their husbands either got laid off or are having shaky times. I think this is a great thing, having more women in the work force, however, if they can get jobs, why can't their husbands? This is really interesting, it is kind of long, but I would stick with it if you can.
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/JOBSMAP09.html
This is not an article, it's an interactive graph. I found this on the wall street journal website. This is really interesting because the red means unemployment and the green/blue means employment. Just a year ago the US was just greenish and now it is really red. See for yourself, move the toggle under the map. It is a little scary though.